Norwich City FC
Home
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 2-1
Birmingham City FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
40.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.35-1.15; Elo differential is 39. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 8.9pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 24 vs 4.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Norwich City FC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.32 | 1.19 |
| Avg goals against | 1.35 | 1.11 |
| BTTS rate | 54% | 63% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 24 | 4 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Norwich City FC win
40.3%
Draw
28.4%
Birmingham City FC win
31.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53.4%
No
46.6%
Double Chance
1X (Norwich City FC or draw)
68.7%
X2 (draw or Birmingham City FC)
59.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.3%
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Under 4.5
90.0%
Clean Sheet
Norwich City FC clean sheet
30.5%
Birmingham City FC clean sheet
24.7%
Draw No Bet
Norwich City FC win
56.2%
Birmingham City FC win
43.8%