Cardiff City FC
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 11:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 3-1
Charlton Athletic FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
38.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.28-1.17; Elo differential is 31. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 5.0pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 16 vs 4.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Cardiff City FC | Charlton Athletic FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals against | 1.67 | 1.23 |
| BTTS rate | 97% | 74% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 16 | 4 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Cardiff City FC win
38.1%
Draw
28.8%
Charlton Athletic FC win
33.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Double Chance
1X (Cardiff City FC or draw)
66.9%
X2 (draw or Charlton Athletic FC)
61.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.6%
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Over 2.5
44.3%
Under 2.5
55.7%
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Under 4.5
89.8%
Clean Sheet
Cardiff City FC clean sheet
30.9%
Charlton Athletic FC clean sheet
27.9%
Draw No Bet
Cardiff City FC win
53.5%
Charlton Athletic FC win
46.5%