Birmingham City FC
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 2-2
Middlesbrough FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
41.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.43-1.21; Elo differential is 36. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 10.1pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 14 vs 10.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Birmingham City FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.08 | 1.39 |
| Avg goals against | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| BTTS rate | 59% | 66% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 14 | 10 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Birmingham City FC win
41.3%
Draw
27.4%
Middlesbrough FC win
31.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Double Chance
1X (Birmingham City FC or draw)
68.8%
X2 (draw or Middlesbrough FC)
58.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.1%
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Under 4.5
87.1%
Clean Sheet
Birmingham City FC clean sheet
29.7%
Middlesbrough FC clean sheet
23.9%
Draw No Bet
Birmingham City FC win
57.0%
Middlesbrough FC win
43.0%