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Championship FINISHED
Lincoln City FC Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 1-2
Swansea City AFC Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct ✓ Exact score matched

Confidence

50.0%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.19-1.75; Elo differential is 22. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 24.8pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 21 vs 8.

Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC

Team form

Lincoln City FCSwansea City AFC
Avg goals for1.001.34
Avg goals against2.511.06
BTTS rate100%54%
Games sampled——
Position218

Full market breakdown

1X2

Lincoln City FC win
25.2%
Draw
24.9%
Swansea City AFC win
50.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%

Double Chance

1X (Lincoln City FC or draw)
50.0%
X2 (draw or Swansea City AFC)
74.8%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
94.0%
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Under 4.5
82.6%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC clean sheet
17.3%
Swansea City AFC clean sheet
30.6%

Draw No Bet

Lincoln City FC win
33.5%
Swansea City AFC win
66.5%