Middlesbrough FC
Home
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
58.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.06-1.13; Elo differential is 136. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 36.4pp; entropy 0.88. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 3 vs 5.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Middlesbrough FC | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.77 | 1.53 |
| Avg goals against | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| BTTS rate | 73% | 60% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 3 | 5 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Middlesbrough FC win
58.1%
Draw
21.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win
20.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59.8%
No
40.2%
Double Chance
1X (Middlesbrough FC or draw)
79.8%
X2 (draw or Wolverhampton Wanderers FC)
41.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.1%
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Over 2.5
61.8%
Under 2.5
38.2%
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Under 4.5
78.3%
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC clean sheet
32.3%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC clean sheet
12.8%
Draw No Bet
Middlesbrough FC win
74.2%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win
25.8%