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Championship FINISHED
Portsmouth FC Home
Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 3-2
Sheffield United FC Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct Exact score missed

Confidence

39.2%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.36-1.24; Elo differential is 41. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 6.1pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 19 vs 18.

Predicted at 30 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC

Team form

Portsmouth FCSheffield United FC
Avg goals for1.271.29
Avg goals against1.431.41
BTTS rate57%68%
Games sampled——
Position1918

Full market breakdown

1X2

Portsmouth FC win
39.2%
Draw
27.7%
Sheffield United FC win
33.1%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%

Double Chance

1X (Portsmouth FC or draw)
66.9%
X2 (draw or Sheffield United FC)
60.8%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
91.5%
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Over 2.5
48.0%
Under 2.5
52.0%
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Under 4.5
87.8%

Clean Sheet

Portsmouth FC clean sheet
29.0%
Sheffield United FC clean sheet
25.8%

Draw No Bet

Portsmouth FC win
54.2%
Sheffield United FC win
45.8%