Norwich City FC
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Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 0-1
Southampton FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
40.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.56-1.69; Elo differential is -36. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 5.7pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 4.
Predicted at 30 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Norwich City FC | Southampton FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.90 | 2.27 |
| Avg goals against | 1.71 | 1.10 |
| BTTS rate | 68% | 86% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 4 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Norwich City FC win
34.7%
Draw
24.8%
Southampton FC win
40.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
Double Chance
1X (Norwich City FC or draw)
59.5%
X2 (draw or Southampton FC)
65.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.3%
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Over 2.5
63.0%
Under 2.5
37.0%
Over 3.5
40.9%
Under 3.5
59.1%
Under 4.5
77.2%
Clean Sheet
Norwich City FC clean sheet
18.5%
Southampton FC clean sheet
20.9%
Draw No Bet
Norwich City FC win
46.2%
Southampton FC win
53.8%