Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 4-1
Derby County FC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
44.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.51-1.15; Elo differential is 70. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 16.5pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 7 vs 22.
Predicted at 30 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Queens Park Rangers FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.22 | 1.12 |
| Avg goals against | 1.22 | 1.54 |
| BTTS rate | 58% | 53% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 7 | 22 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Queens Park Rangers FC win
44.9%
Draw
26.7%
Derby County FC win
28.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Double Chance
1X (Queens Park Rangers FC or draw)
71.6%
X2 (draw or Derby County FC)
55.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.0%
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Under 4.5
86.9%
Clean Sheet
Queens Park Rangers FC clean sheet
31.6%
Derby County FC clean sheet
22.1%
Draw No Bet
Queens Park Rangers FC win
61.2%
Derby County FC win
38.8%