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Championship FINISHED
Birmingham City FC Home
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 3-0
Queens Park Rangers FC Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct Exact score missed

Confidence

47.1%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.54-1.11; Elo differential is 96. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 20.4pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 7.

Predicted at 03 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC

Team form

Birmingham City FCQueens Park Rangers FC
Avg goals for1.381.22
Avg goals against1.291.22
BTTS rate77%58%
Games sampled——
Position117

Full market breakdown

1X2

Birmingham City FC win
47.1%
Draw
26.2%
Queens Park Rangers FC win
26.7%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%

Double Chance

1X (Birmingham City FC or draw)
73.3%
X2 (draw or Queens Park Rangers FC)
52.9%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
92.0%
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Over 2.5
49.4%
Under 2.5
50.6%
Over 3.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
72.5%
Under 4.5
87.0%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC clean sheet
33.0%
Queens Park Rangers FC clean sheet
21.5%

Draw No Bet

Birmingham City FC win
63.8%
Queens Park Rangers FC win
36.2%