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Championship FINISHED
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-0
Watford FC Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct ✓ Exact score matched

Confidence

56.6%
Medium confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.71-0.85; Elo differential is 110. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 32.4pp; entropy 0.89. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 6 vs 20.

Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC

Team form

Wolverhampton Wanderers FCWatford FC
Avg goals for1.370.72
Avg goals against1.421.75
BTTS rate53%50%
Games sampled——
Position620

Full market breakdown

1X2

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win
56.6%
Draw
24.2%
Watford FC win
19.1%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%

Double Chance

1X (Wolverhampton Wanderers FC or draw)
80.9%
X2 (draw or Watford FC)
43.4%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
91.6%
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Over 2.5
47.0%
Under 2.5
53.0%
Over 3.5
25.4%
Under 3.5
74.6%
Under 4.5
88.4%

Clean Sheet

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC clean sheet
42.8%
Watford FC clean sheet
18.1%

Draw No Bet

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win
74.7%
Watford FC win
25.3%