Portsmouth FC
Home
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Stoke City FC
Away
Confidence
46.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.56-1.18; Elo differential is 75. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 17.8pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 13 vs 7.
Predicted at 24 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Portsmouth FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.28 | 1.47 |
| Avg goals against | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| BTTS rate | 55% | 68% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 13 | 7 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Portsmouth FC win
46.6%
Draw
24.6%
Stoke City FC win
28.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Double Chance
1X (Portsmouth FC or draw)
71.2%
X2 (draw or Stoke City FC)
53.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.0%
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Over 2.5
51.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%
Over 3.5
29.4%
Under 3.5
70.6%
Under 4.5
85.7%
Clean Sheet
Portsmouth FC clean sheet
30.8%
Stoke City FC clean sheet
21.0%
Draw No Bet
Portsmouth FC win
61.8%
Stoke City FC win
38.2%