FC Barcelona
Home
Thu, 27 Aug 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 2-0
Athletic Club
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
68.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 3.00-0.70; Elo differential is 326. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 81%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 48.8pp; entropy 0.76. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 7 vs 19.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| FC Barcelona | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.54 | 1.25 |
| Avg goals against | 0.85 | 1.88 |
| BTTS rate | 49% | 66% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 7 | 19 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
FC Barcelona win
68.3%
Draw
19.4%
Athletic Club win
12.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Double Chance
1X (FC Barcelona or draw)
87.7%
X2 (draw or Athletic Club)
31.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
97.9%
Over 1.5
87.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Over 2.5
67.9%
Under 2.5
32.1%
Over 3.5
46.8%
Under 3.5
53.2%
Under 4.5
71.0%
Clean Sheet
FC Barcelona clean sheet
49.8%
Athletic Club clean sheet
4.9%
Draw No Bet
FC Barcelona win
84.7%
Athletic Club win
15.3%