RC Celta de Vigo
Home
Thu, 27 Aug 2026 18:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-2
CA Osasuna
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
43.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.51-0.97; Elo differential is 134. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 100%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 13.3pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 12.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| RC Celta de Vigo | CA Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Avg goals against | 1.17 | 1.29 |
| BTTS rate | 50% | 58% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 11 | 12 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
RC Celta de Vigo win
43.6%
Draw
26.1%
CA Osasuna win
30.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Double Chance
1X (RC Celta de Vigo or draw)
69.7%
X2 (draw or CA Osasuna)
56.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.1%
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Under 4.5
89.9%
Clean Sheet
RC Celta de Vigo clean sheet
36.6%
CA Osasuna clean sheet
21.3%
Draw No Bet
RC Celta de Vigo win
59.0%
CA Osasuna win
41.0%