RC Celta de Vigo
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 19:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-2
Athletic Club
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
44.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.69-0.96; Elo differential is 102. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 95%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 15.1pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 14 vs 20.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| RC Celta de Vigo | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.24 | 1.12 |
| Avg goals against | 1.26 | 1.91 |
| BTTS rate | 56% | 59% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 14 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
RC Celta de Vigo win
44.3%
Draw
26.5%
Athletic Club win
29.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Double Chance
1X (RC Celta de Vigo or draw)
70.8%
X2 (draw or Athletic Club)
55.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.4%
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Under 4.5
87.7%
Clean Sheet
RC Celta de Vigo clean sheet
36.9%
Athletic Club clean sheet
18.5%
Draw No Bet
RC Celta de Vigo win
60.3%
Athletic Club win
39.7%