Valencia CF
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Sun, 06 Sep 2026 14:15 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 0-5
FC Barcelona
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
61.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 0.95-2.00; Elo differential is -179. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 84%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 40.8pp; entropy 0.85. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 15 vs 2.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Valencia CF | FC Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.11 | 2.49 |
| Avg goals against | 1.15 | 0.75 |
| BTTS rate | 47% | 44% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 15 | 2 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Valencia CF win
18.3%
Draw
20.4%
FC Barcelona win
61.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Double Chance
1X (Valencia CF or draw)
38.8%
X2 (draw or FC Barcelona)
81.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.3%
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Under 4.5
83.7%
Clean Sheet
Valencia CF clean sheet
13.3%
FC Barcelona clean sheet
38.1%
Draw No Bet
Valencia CF win
23.0%
FC Barcelona win
77.0%