← Back to predictions
La Liga FINISHED
CA Osasuna Home
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:15 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-2
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

53.8%
Medium confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.75-1.03; Elo differential is 76. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 100%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 28.9pp; entropy 0.92. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 7 vs 10.

Predicted at 31 Aug 2026, 14:03 UTC

Team form

CA OsasunaRCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Avg goals for1.161.21
Avg goals against1.241.48
BTTS rate63%63%
Games sampled——
Position710

Full market breakdown

1X2

CA Osasuna win
53.8%
Draw
24.9%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win
21.4%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%

Double Chance

1X (CA Osasuna or draw)
78.6%
X2 (draw or RCD Espanyol de Barcelona)
46.2%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
93.1%
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Under 4.5
85.1%

Clean Sheet

CA Osasuna clean sheet
35.9%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona clean sheet
17.3%

Draw No Bet

CA Osasuna win
71.6%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win
28.4%