Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Home
Tue, 15 Sep 2026 17:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Away
Confidence
54.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.80-1.07; Elo differential is 120. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 89%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 29.6pp; entropy 0.92. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 10.
Predicted at 01 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Avg goals against | 1.58 | 1.48 |
| BTTS rate | 66% | 63% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 10 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win
54.0%
Draw
24.4%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win
21.6%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Double Chance
1X (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or draw)
78.4%
X2 (draw or RCD Espanyol de Barcelona)
46.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.7%
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Over 2.5
54.7%
Under 2.5
45.3%
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Under 4.5
83.7%
Clean Sheet
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid clean sheet
34.4%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona clean sheet
16.5%
Draw No Bet
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win
71.4%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win
28.6%