Athletic Club
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:15 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 0-0
Deportivo Alavés
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
37.4%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.39-1.35; Elo differential is 40. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 84%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 1.8pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 12 vs 5.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 02:02 UTC
Team form
| Athletic Club | Deportivo Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.20 | 1.45 |
| Avg goals against | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| BTTS rate | 53% | 60% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 12 | 5 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Athletic Club win
37.4%
Draw
27.1%
Deportivo Alavés win
35.6%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Double Chance
1X (Athletic Club or draw)
64.4%
X2 (draw or Deportivo Alavés)
62.6%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.8%
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Over 2.5
51.6%
Under 2.5
48.4%
Over 3.5
29.4%
Under 3.5
70.6%
Under 4.5
85.7%
Clean Sheet
Athletic Club clean sheet
25.9%
Deportivo Alavés clean sheet
24.9%
Draw No Bet
Athletic Club win
51.2%
Deportivo Alavés win
48.8%