Deportivo Alavés
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Sat, 10 Oct 2026 14:15 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 1-2
Club Atlético de Madrid
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
39.6%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.44-1.50; Elo differential is -70. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 48%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 4.9pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 6 vs 2.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Deportivo Alavés | Club Atlético de Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.47 | 1.96 |
| Avg goals against | 1.25 | 1.34 |
| BTTS rate | 57% | 57% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 6 | 2 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Deportivo Alavés win
34.7%
Draw
25.7%
Club Atlético de Madrid win
39.6%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60.3%
No
39.7%
Double Chance
1X (Deportivo Alavés or draw)
60.4%
X2 (draw or Club Atlético de Madrid)
65.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.8%
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Over 2.5
56.5%
Under 2.5
43.5%
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 3.5
65.9%
Under 4.5
82.4%
Clean Sheet
Deportivo Alavés clean sheet
22.2%
Club Atlético de Madrid clean sheet
23.6%
Draw No Bet
Deportivo Alavés win
46.7%
Club Atlético de Madrid win
53.3%