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La Liga FINISHED
Elche CF Home
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 12:00 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 0-0
RC Celta de Vigo Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

38.4%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.34-1.45; Elo differential is 7. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 59%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 4.0pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 18 vs 14.

Predicted at 27 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC

Team form

Elche CFRC Celta de Vigo
Avg goals for1.481.34
Avg goals against2.041.07
BTTS rate83%50%
Games sampled——
Position1814

Full market breakdown

1X2

Elche CF win
34.4%
Draw
27.2%
RC Celta de Vigo win
38.4%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%

Double Chance

1X (Elche CF or draw)
61.6%
X2 (draw or RC Celta de Vigo)
65.6%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
92.9%
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Under 4.5
84.9%

Clean Sheet

Elche CF clean sheet
23.5%
RC Celta de Vigo clean sheet
26.2%

Draw No Bet

Elche CF win
47.3%
RC Celta de Vigo win
52.7%