RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
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Sat, 17 Oct 2026 12:00 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 0-1
Club Atlético de Madrid
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
48.8%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.23-1.71; Elo differential is -116. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 48%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 22.1pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 15 vs 2.
Predicted at 03 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | Club Atlético de Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.23 | 1.96 |
| Avg goals against | 1.52 | 1.34 |
| BTTS rate | 68% | 57% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 15 | 2 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win
26.6%
Draw
24.6%
Club Atlético de Madrid win
48.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Double Chance
1X (RCD Espanyol de Barcelona or draw)
51.2%
X2 (draw or Club Atlético de Madrid)
73.4%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.8%
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Over 2.5
56.2%
Under 2.5
43.8%
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
66.2%
Under 4.5
82.6%
Clean Sheet
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona clean sheet
18.2%
Club Atlético de Madrid clean sheet
29.2%
Draw No Bet
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win
35.3%
Club Atlético de Madrid win
64.7%