RC Celta de Vigo
Home
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 14:15 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 2-1
Deportivo Alavés
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
44.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.53-1.18; Elo differential is 77. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 59%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 16.2pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 14 vs 6.
Predicted at 04 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| RC Celta de Vigo | Deportivo Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.34 | 1.47 |
| Avg goals against | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| BTTS rate | 50% | 57% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 14 | 6 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
RC Celta de Vigo win
44.9%
Draw
26.3%
Deportivo Alavés win
28.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Double Chance
1X (RC Celta de Vigo or draw)
71.3%
X2 (draw or Deportivo Alavés)
55.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.4%
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Over 2.5
50.9%
Under 2.5
49.1%
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Under 4.5
86.1%
Clean Sheet
RC Celta de Vigo clean sheet
30.6%
Deportivo Alavés clean sheet
21.7%
Draw No Bet
RC Celta de Vigo win
61.0%
Deportivo Alavés win
39.0%