Deportivo Alavés
Home
Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-1
Málaga CF
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
57.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.69-0.77; Elo differential is 72. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 21%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 32.3pp; entropy 0.89. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 7 vs 20.
Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC
Team form
| Deportivo Alavés | Málaga CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.43 | 0.53 |
| Avg goals against | 1.32 | 1.59 |
| BTTS rate | 61% | 53% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 7 | 20 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Deportivo Alavés win
57.0%
Draw
24.7%
Málaga CF win
18.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Double Chance
1X (Deportivo Alavés or draw)
81.7%
X2 (draw or Málaga CF)
43.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.8%
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Under 4.5
89.7%
Clean Sheet
Deportivo Alavés clean sheet
46.2%
Málaga CF clean sheet
18.5%
Draw No Bet
Deportivo Alavés win
75.7%
Málaga CF win
24.3%