Valencia CF
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Sat, 24 Oct 2026 16:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 1-2
Villarreal CF
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
38.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.34-1.43; Elo differential is 4. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 53%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 3.4pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 19 vs 11.
Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC
Team form
| Valencia CF | Villarreal CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.00 | 1.72 |
| Avg goals against | 1.65 | 1.64 |
| BTTS rate | 43% | 77% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 19 | 11 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Valencia CF win
34.8%
Draw
26.9%
Villarreal CF win
38.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Double Chance
1X (Valencia CF or draw)
61.8%
X2 (draw or Villarreal CF)
65.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.0%
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Under 4.5
85.2%
Clean Sheet
Valencia CF clean sheet
23.9%
Villarreal CF clean sheet
26.2%
Draw No Bet
Valencia CF win
47.7%
Villarreal CF win
52.3%