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La Liga FINISHED
Real Racing Club de Santander Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:15 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-1
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct ✓ Exact score matched

Confidence

53.7%
Medium confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.99-1.26; Elo differential is 99. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 39%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 29.8pp; entropy 0.92. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 16 vs 12.

Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC

Team form

Real Racing Club de SantanderRCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Avg goals for1.551.21
Avg goals against3.141.48
BTTS rate71%72%
Games sampled——
Position1612

Full market breakdown

1X2

Real Racing Club de Santander win
53.7%
Draw
22.3%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win
23.9%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
62.4%
No
37.6%

Double Chance

1X (Real Racing Club de Santander or draw)
76.1%
X2 (draw or RCD Espanyol de Barcelona)
46.3%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
95.5%
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Over 2.5
63.0%
Under 2.5
37.0%
Over 3.5
40.9%
Under 3.5
59.1%
Under 4.5
77.2%

Clean Sheet

Real Racing Club de Santander clean sheet
28.5%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona clean sheet
13.6%

Draw No Bet

Real Racing Club de Santander win
69.2%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win
30.8%