FC Bayern München
Home
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 5-1
VfB Stuttgart
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
69.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 3.54-1.40; Elo differential is 272. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 58%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 54.2pp; entropy 0.75. Selective pick: ELITE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| FC Bayern München | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 3.34 | 2.29 |
| Avg goals against | 1.49 | 1.55 |
| BTTS rate | 80% | 67% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
FC Bayern München win
69.7%
Draw
14.9%
VfB Stuttgart win
15.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72.3%
No
27.7%
Double Chance
1X (FC Bayern München or draw)
84.5%
X2 (draw or VfB Stuttgart)
30.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
99.2%
Over 1.5
95.5%
Under 1.5
4.5%
Over 2.5
86.8%
Under 2.5
13.2%
Over 3.5
72.6%
Under 3.5
27.4%
Under 4.5
42.9%
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München clean sheet
25.5%
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet
3.0%
Draw No Bet
FC Bayern München win
81.9%
VfB Stuttgart win
18.1%