FC Augsburg
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 3-0
FC Schalke 04
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
40.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.44-1.43; Elo differential is 51. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 9.8pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| FC Augsburg | FC Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.41 | 1.25 |
| Avg goals against | 1.72 | 1.25 |
| BTTS rate | 64% | 50% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
FC Augsburg win
40.2%
Draw
29.4%
FC Schalke 04 win
30.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Double Chance
1X (FC Augsburg or draw)
69.6%
X2 (draw or FC Schalke 04)
59.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.9%
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 3.5
67.6%
Under 4.5
84.1%
Clean Sheet
FC Augsburg clean sheet
23.0%
FC Schalke 04 clean sheet
23.5%
Draw No Bet
FC Augsburg win
57.0%
FC Schalke 04 win
43.0%