SC Freiburg
Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 4-1
SV Werder Bremen
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
49.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.71-1.11; Elo differential is 144. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 90%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 23.4pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| SC Freiburg | SV Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.52 | 0.97 |
| Avg goals against | 1.70 | 1.67 |
| BTTS rate | 63% | 50% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SC Freiburg win
49.1%
Draw
25.2%
SV Werder Bremen win
25.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54.8%
No
45.2%
Double Chance
1X (SC Freiburg or draw)
74.3%
X2 (draw or SV Werder Bremen)
50.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.1%
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Under 4.5
85.9%
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg clean sheet
33.9%
SV Werder Bremen clean sheet
18.2%
Draw No Bet
SC Freiburg win
65.6%
SV Werder Bremen win
34.4%