SV Werder Bremen
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Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
RB Leipzig
Away
Confidence
50.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.19-1.73; Elo differential is -90. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 90%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 23.7pp; entropy 0.94. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| SV Werder Bremen | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 0.97 | 1.95 |
| Avg goals against | 1.67 | 1.49 |
| BTTS rate | 50% | 73% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SV Werder Bremen win
23.1%
Draw
26.6%
RB Leipzig win
50.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Double Chance
1X (SV Werder Bremen or draw)
49.7%
X2 (draw or RB Leipzig)
76.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
93.8%
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Under 4.5
84.2%
Clean Sheet
SV Werder Bremen clean sheet
17.8%
RB Leipzig clean sheet
31.1%
Draw No Bet
SV Werder Bremen win
31.4%
RB Leipzig win
68.6%