TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
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Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Away
Confidence
45.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.38-1.94; Elo differential is -42. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 73%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 12.7pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.77 | 2.02 |
| Avg goals against | 1.65 | 1.19 |
| BTTS rate | 61% | 47% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
32.7%
Draw
22.0%
Borussia Dortmund win
45.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Double Chance
1X (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or draw)
54.7%
X2 (draw or Borussia Dortmund)
67.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.9%
Over 1.5
83.6%
Under 1.5
16.4%
Over 2.5
62.9%
Under 2.5
37.1%
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Under 4.5
78.0%
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet
15.7%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet
25.0%
Draw No Bet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
41.9%
Borussia Dortmund win
58.1%