Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Home
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
1. FC Union Berlin
Away
Confidence
63.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.22-1.02; Elo differential is 203. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 70%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 44.2pp; entropy 0.83. Selective pick: STRONG.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1. FC Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.71 | 1.39 |
| Avg goals against | 1.34 | 1.68 |
| BTTS rate | 63% | 65% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
63.5%
Draw
19.3%
1. FC Union Berlin win
17.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.2%
No
42.8%
Double Chance
1X (Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw)
82.7%
X2 (draw or 1. FC Union Berlin)
36.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.3%
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Over 2.5
63.3%
Under 2.5
36.7%
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Under 4.5
78.2%
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet
36.6%
1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet
9.9%
Draw No Bet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
78.6%
1. FC Union Berlin win
21.4%