SC Paderborn 07
Home
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 0-1
SC Freiburg
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
49.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.71-1.38; Elo differential is 34. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 24.1pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC
Team form
| SC Paderborn 07 | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.25 | 1.52 |
| Avg goals against | 1.25 | 1.70 |
| BTTS rate | 50% | 63% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
SC Paderborn 07 win
49.7%
Draw
24.7%
SC Freiburg win
25.6%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60.8%
No
39.2%
Double Chance
1X (SC Paderborn 07 or draw)
74.4%
X2 (draw or SC Freiburg)
50.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.9%
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Over 2.5
58.1%
Under 2.5
41.9%
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Under 4.5
81.8%
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 clean sheet
26.2%
SC Freiburg clean sheet
18.1%
Draw No Bet
SC Paderborn 07 win
66.0%
SC Freiburg win
34.0%