VfB Stuttgart
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 16:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
40.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.76-1.62; Elo differential is -4. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 77%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 5.5pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 7 vs 5.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC
Team form
| VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.37 | 2.01 |
| Avg goals against | 1.93 | 1.00 |
| BTTS rate | 76% | 39% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 7 | 5 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
VfB Stuttgart win
40.5%
Draw
24.4%
Borussia Dortmund win
35.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67.1%
No
32.9%
Double Chance
1X (VfB Stuttgart or draw)
64.9%
X2 (draw or Borussia Dortmund)
59.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.8%
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Under 4.5
74.8%
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet
19.8%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet
17.2%
Draw No Bet
VfB Stuttgart win
53.6%
Borussia Dortmund win
46.4%