Hamburger SV
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-1
1. FC Köln
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
53.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.97-1.22; Elo differential is 89. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 30.6pp; entropy 0.92. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 15 vs 8.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC
Team form
| Hamburger SV | 1. FC Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.13 | 1.55 |
| Avg goals against | 1.71 | 2.35 |
| BTTS rate | 67% | 91% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 15 | 8 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Hamburger SV win
53.9%
Draw
23.2%
1. FC Köln win
22.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Double Chance
1X (Hamburger SV or draw)
77.1%
X2 (draw or 1. FC Köln)
46.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.1%
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Over 2.5
61.8%
Under 2.5
38.2%
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Under 4.5
78.3%
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV clean sheet
29.5%
1. FC Köln clean sheet
14.0%
Draw No Bet
Hamburger SV win
70.2%
1. FC Köln win
29.8%