Borussia Mönchengladbach
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Sat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 3-4
1. FSV Mainz 05
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
40.2%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.44-1.26; Elo differential is 14. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 7.9pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 12.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC
Team form
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.12 | 1.26 |
| Avg goals against | 1.61 | 1.28 |
| BTTS rate | 37% | 58% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 12 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
40.2%
Draw
27.6%
1. FSV Mainz 05 win
32.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Double Chance
1X (Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw)
67.8%
X2 (draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05)
59.8%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.3%
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Over 2.5
50.7%
Under 2.5
49.3%
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Under 4.5
86.2%
Clean Sheet
Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet
28.3%
1. FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet
23.7%
Draw No Bet
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
55.5%
1. FSV Mainz 05 win
44.5%