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Bundesliga FINISHED
SV Werder Bremen Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 3-2
FC Augsburg Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

40.0%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.45-1.58; Elo differential is -27. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 73%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 5.9pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 16 vs 4.

Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC

Team form

SV Werder BremenFC Augsburg
Avg goals for0.991.65
Avg goals against1.991.46
BTTS rate57%54%
Games sampled——
Position164

Full market breakdown

1X2

SV Werder Bremen win
34.1%
Draw
25.8%
FC Augsburg win
40.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%

Double Chance

1X (SV Werder Bremen or draw)
60.0%
X2 (draw or FC Augsburg)
65.9%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
94.3%
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Over 2.5
58.5%
Under 2.5
41.5%
Over 3.5
36.1%
Under 3.5
63.9%
Under 4.5
80.9%

Clean Sheet

SV Werder Bremen clean sheet
20.5%
FC Augsburg clean sheet
23.4%

Draw No Bet

SV Werder Bremen win
46.0%
FC Augsburg win
54.0%