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Bundesliga FINISHED
1. FC Union Berlin Home
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 1-0
SV 07 Elversberg Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

45.4%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.54-1.92; Elo differential is -35. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 23%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 14.5pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 7.

Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC

Team form

1. FC Union BerlinSV 07 Elversberg
Avg goals for1.211.90
Avg goals against2.871.69
BTTS rate59%73%
Games sampled——
Position177

Full market breakdown

1X2

1. FC Union Berlin win
30.9%
Draw
23.7%
SV 07 Elversberg win
45.4%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
67.8%
No
32.2%

Double Chance

1X (1. FC Union Berlin or draw)
54.6%
X2 (draw or SV 07 Elversberg)
69.1%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
96.1%
Over 1.5
86.7%
Under 1.5
13.3%
Over 2.5
67.2%
Under 2.5
32.8%
Over 3.5
45.5%
Under 3.5
54.5%
Under 4.5
73.3%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet
14.7%
SV 07 Elversberg clean sheet
21.4%

Draw No Bet

1. FC Union Berlin win
40.5%
SV 07 Elversberg win
59.5%