TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Home
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-3
Hamburger SV
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
61.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.19-1.07; Elo differential is 117. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 48%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 40.3pp; entropy 0.85. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 14 vs 16.
Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.75 | 0.98 |
| Avg goals against | 2.05 | 2.36 |
| BTTS rate | 78% | 57% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 14 | 16 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
61.0%
Draw
20.8%
Hamburger SV win
18.2%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Double Chance
1X (TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or draw)
81.8%
X2 (draw or Hamburger SV)
39.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.4%
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Over 2.5
63.2%
Under 2.5
36.8%
Over 3.5
41.0%
Under 3.5
59.0%
Under 4.5
77.0%
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet
34.3%
Hamburger SV clean sheet
11.2%
Draw No Bet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
77.0%
Hamburger SV win
23.0%