1. FC Union Berlin
Home
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 0-0
Borussia Dortmund
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
58.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.25-2.14; Elo differential is -188. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 47%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 37.4pp; entropy 0.88. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 17 vs 1.
Predicted at 03 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| 1. FC Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.21 | 2.17 |
| Avg goals against | 2.87 | 0.99 |
| BTTS rate | 59% | 42% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 17 | 1 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
1. FC Union Berlin win
20.8%
Draw
20.9%
Borussia Dortmund win
58.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Double Chance
1X (1. FC Union Berlin or draw)
41.7%
X2 (draw or Borussia Dortmund)
79.2%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.9%
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Over 2.5
65.8%
Under 2.5
34.2%
Over 3.5
43.9%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Under 4.5
74.6%
Clean Sheet
1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet
11.8%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet
28.6%
Draw No Bet
1. FC Union Berlin win
26.3%
Borussia Dortmund win
73.7%