Hamburger SV
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Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
1-2
Final score: 1-0
VfB Stuttgart
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
45.8%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.58-1.95; Elo differential is -53. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 56%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 14.8pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 16 vs 15.
Predicted at 03 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Hamburger SV | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 0.98 | 2.04 |
| Avg goals against | 2.36 | 1.76 |
| BTTS rate | 57% | 73% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 16 | 15 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Hamburger SV win
31.0%
Draw
23.2%
VfB Stuttgart win
45.8%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68.9%
No
31.1%
Double Chance
1X (Hamburger SV or draw)
54.2%
X2 (draw or VfB Stuttgart)
69.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.4%
Over 1.5
87.5%
Under 1.5
12.5%
Over 2.5
68.6%
Under 2.5
31.4%
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Under 4.5
71.9%
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV clean sheet
14.2%
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet
20.6%
Draw No Bet
Hamburger SV win
40.3%
VfB Stuttgart win
59.7%