FC Bayern München
Home
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 16:30 (UTC+0)
3-1
Final score: 6-1
RB Leipzig
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
79.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 3.40-1.13; Elo differential is 303. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 40%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 68.1pp; entropy 0.58. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 2 vs 9.
Predicted at 03 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| FC Bayern München | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 3.53 | 1.93 |
| Avg goals against | 1.02 | 1.69 |
| BTTS rate | 62% | 56% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 2 | 9 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
FC Bayern München win
79.7%
Draw
11.6%
RB Leipzig win
8.6%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65.6%
No
34.4%
Double Chance
1X (FC Bayern München or draw)
91.4%
X2 (draw or RB Leipzig)
20.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
98.6%
Over 1.5
94.4%
Under 1.5
5.6%
Over 2.5
82.9%
Under 2.5
17.1%
Over 3.5
66.2%
Under 3.5
33.8%
Under 4.5
52.7%
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München clean sheet
32.4%
RB Leipzig clean sheet
3.3%
Draw No Bet
FC Bayern München win
90.2%
RB Leipzig win
9.8%