← Back to predictions
Bundesliga FINISHED
Borussia Mönchengladbach Home
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 1-2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

39.5%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.93-1.83; Elo differential is -33. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 2.1pp; entropy 0.98. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 18 vs 14.

Predicted at 04 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC

Team form

Borussia MönchengladbachTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Avg goals for1.441.75
Avg goals against2.532.05
BTTS rate47%78%
Games sampled——
Position1814

Full market breakdown

1X2

Borussia Mönchengladbach win
39.5%
Draw
23.0%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
37.5%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
72.5%
No
27.5%

Double Chance

1X (Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw)
62.5%
X2 (draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim)
60.5%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
97.0%
Over 1.5
89.6%
Under 1.5
10.4%
Over 2.5
72.5%
Under 2.5
27.5%
Over 3.5
51.9%
Under 3.5
48.1%
Under 4.5
67.5%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet
16.0%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet
14.5%

Draw No Bet

Borussia Mönchengladbach win
51.3%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
48.7%