Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Home
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-1
SC Freiburg
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
59.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.21-1.19; Elo differential is 110. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 51%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 38.2pp; entropy 0.87. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 5 vs 3.
Predicted at 04 Oct 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.05 | 2.19 |
| Avg goals against | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| BTTS rate | 57% | 58% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 5 | 3 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
59.1%
Draw
20.9%
SC Freiburg win
20.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Double Chance
1X (Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw)
80.0%
X2 (draw or SC Freiburg)
40.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
96.0%
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Over 2.5
66.0%
Under 2.5
34.0%
Over 3.5
44.1%
Under 3.5
55.9%
Under 4.5
74.5%
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet
30.6%
SC Freiburg clean sheet
10.9%
Draw No Bet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
74.7%
SC Freiburg win
25.3%