← Back to predictions
Bundesliga FINISHED
1. FC Köln Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 0-0
FC Schalke 04 Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

39.5%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.57-1.43; Elo differential is -17. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 4.6pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 10 vs 13.

Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC

Team form

1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04
Avg goals for1.490.76
Avg goals against2.030.94
BTTS rate94%25%
Games sampled——
Position1013

Full market breakdown

1X2

1. FC Köln win
39.5%
Draw
25.7%
FC Schalke 04 win
34.8%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
60.9%
No
39.1%

Double Chance

1X (1. FC Köln or draw)
65.2%
X2 (draw or FC Schalke 04)
60.5%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
94.3%
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Over 2.5
57.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Under 4.5
81.5%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Köln clean sheet
23.9%
FC Schalke 04 clean sheet
20.8%

Draw No Bet

1. FC Köln win
53.1%
FC Schalke 04 win
46.9%