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Bundesliga FINISHED
RB Leipzig Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 13:30 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 4-0
SV 07 Elversberg Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct Exact score missed

Confidence

67.5%
Very High confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.55-1.03; Elo differential is 109. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 17%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 49.8pp; entropy 0.78. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 5 vs 9.

Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC

Team form

RB LeipzigSV 07 Elversberg
Avg goals for2.411.44
Avg goals against1.481.52
BTTS rate50%55%
Games sampled——
Position59

Full market breakdown

1X2

RB Leipzig win
67.5%
Draw
17.7%
SV 07 Elversberg win
14.9%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%

Double Chance

1X (RB Leipzig or draw)
85.1%
X2 (draw or SV 07 Elversberg)
32.5%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
96.8%
Over 1.5
87.7%
Under 1.5
12.3%
Over 2.5
69.4%
Under 2.5
30.6%
Over 3.5
48.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
Under 4.5
71.0%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig clean sheet
35.7%
SV 07 Elversberg clean sheet
7.8%

Draw No Bet

RB Leipzig win
81.9%
SV 07 Elversberg win
18.1%