CD Santa Clara
Home
Mon, 10 Aug 2026 19:15 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 2-2
CD Nacional
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
45.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.14-0.82; Elo differential is 116. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 15.1pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| CD Santa Clara | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| Avg goals against | 1.21 | 1.18 |
| BTTS rate | 42% | 36% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CD Santa Clara win
45.7%
Draw
30.6%
CD Nacional win
23.7%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38.6%
No
61.4%
Double Chance
1X (CD Santa Clara or draw)
76.3%
X2 (draw or CD Nacional)
54.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
88.3%
Over 1.5
59.6%
Under 1.5
40.4%
Over 2.5
32.9%
Under 2.5
67.1%
Over 3.5
14.6%
Under 3.5
85.4%
Under 4.5
95.1%
Clean Sheet
CD Santa Clara clean sheet
42.9%
CD Nacional clean sheet
30.2%
Draw No Bet
CD Santa Clara win
65.9%
CD Nacional win
34.1%