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Primeira Liga FINISHED
GD Estoril Praia Home
Fri, 07 Aug 2026 19:15 (UTC+0)
0-1
Final score: 1-1
FC Famalicão Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

39.3%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 1.17-1.31; Elo differential is -39. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 8.9pp; entropy 0.99. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC

Team form

GD Estoril PraiaFC Famalicão
Avg goals for1.371.25
Avg goals against1.690.91
BTTS rate60%39%
Games sampled——

Full market breakdown

1X2

GD Estoril Praia win
30.4%
Draw
30.3%
FC Famalicão win
39.3%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%

Double Chance

1X (GD Estoril Praia or draw)
60.7%
X2 (draw or FC Famalicão)
69.6%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
92.6%
Over 1.5
69.7%
Under 1.5
30.3%
Over 2.5
43.6%
Under 2.5
56.4%
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Under 4.5
90.4%

Clean Sheet

GD Estoril Praia clean sheet
26.8%
FC Famalicão clean sheet
31.1%

Draw No Bet

GD Estoril Praia win
43.6%
FC Famalicão win
56.4%