Gil Vicente FC
Home
Mon, 24 Aug 2026 19:15 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 2-0
Casa Pia AC
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
59.5%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.73-0.70; Elo differential is 133. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 35.5pp; entropy 0.86. Selective pick: STRONG. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 8 vs 18.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Gil Vicente FC | Casa Pia AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.28 | 0.61 |
| Avg goals against | 1.25 | 2.09 |
| BTTS rate | 49% | 38% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 8 | 18 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Gil Vicente FC win
59.5%
Draw
24.0%
Casa Pia AC win
16.5%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41.1%
No
58.9%
Double Chance
1X (Gil Vicente FC or draw)
83.5%
X2 (draw or Casa Pia AC)
40.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
92.3%
Over 1.5
70.7%
Under 1.5
29.3%
Over 2.5
44.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Under 4.5
90.6%
Clean Sheet
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet
49.5%
Casa Pia AC clean sheet
17.1%
Draw No Bet
Gil Vicente FC win
78.3%
Casa Pia AC win
21.7%