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Primeira Liga FINISHED
FC Famalicão Home
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 19:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-0
Gil Vicente FC Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

44.7%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.17-0.85; Elo differential is 92. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 16.5pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 14 vs 6.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC

Team form

FC FamalicãoGil Vicente FC
Avg goals for1.061.36
Avg goals against1.051.10
BTTS rate47%43%
Games sampled
Position146

Full market breakdown

1X2

FC Famalicão win
44.7%
Draw
27.1%
Gil Vicente FC win
28.2%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
39.9%
No
60.1%

Double Chance

1X (FC Famalicão or draw)
71.8%
X2 (draw or Gil Vicente FC)
55.3%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
89.3%
Over 1.5
61.7%
Under 1.5
38.3%
Over 2.5
34.4%
Under 2.5
65.6%
Over 3.5
15.2%
Under 3.5
84.8%
Under 4.5
94.5%

Clean Sheet

FC Famalicão clean sheet
41.6%
Gil Vicente FC clean sheet
29.2%

Draw No Bet

FC Famalicão win
61.3%
Gil Vicente FC win
38.7%