Rio Ave FC
Home
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 19:15 (UTC+0)
0-2
Final score: 0-4
Sporting Clube de Portugal
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
67.4%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 0.80-2.61; Elo differential is -210. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 49.4pp; entropy 0.78. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 10 vs 2.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:26 UTC
Team form
| Rio Ave FC | Sporting Clube de Portugal | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 0.87 | 2.49 |
| Avg goals against | 1.39 | 1.14 |
| BTTS rate | 34% | 69% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 10 | 2 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Rio Ave FC win
14.5%
Draw
18.0%
Sporting Clube de Portugal win
67.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Double Chance
1X (Rio Ave FC or draw)
32.6%
X2 (draw or Sporting Clube de Portugal)
85.5%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
97.0%
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Over 2.5
65.7%
Under 2.5
34.3%
Over 3.5
44.2%
Under 3.5
55.8%
Under 4.5
77.1%
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave FC clean sheet
7.7%
Sporting Clube de Portugal clean sheet
46.1%
Draw No Bet
Rio Ave FC win
17.7%
Sporting Clube de Portugal win
82.3%